Causal diagrams

Causal model

In the philosophy of science, a causal model (or structural causal model) is a conceptual model that describes the causal mechanisms of a system. Causal models can improve study designs by providing clear rules for deciding which independent variables need to be included/controlled for. They can allow some questions to be answered from existing observational data without the need for an interventional study such as a randomized controlled trial. Some interventional studies are inappropriate for ethical or practical reasons, meaning that without a causal model, some hypotheses cannot be tested. Causal models can help with the question of external validity (whether results from one study apply to unstudied populations). Causal models can allow data from multiple studies to be merged (in certain circumstances) to answer questions that cannot be answered by any individual data set. Causal models are falsifiable, in that if they do not match data, they must be rejected as invalid. They must also be credible to those close to the phenomena the model intends to explain. Causal models have found applications in signal processing, epidemiology and machine learning. (Wikipedia).

Causal model
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Causal Inference Introduction

Causal Inference is a set of tools used to scientifically prove cause and effect, very commonly used in economics and medicine. This series will go over the basics that any data scientist should understand about causal inference - and point them to the tools they would need to perform it.

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Causal Diagrams - Causal Inference

Today I talk about causal diagrams, e.g., dag, inline. This is one of the most important tools in Causal Inference, and we learn how to draw these tools out. Later we will learn how to use them in analysis.

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Modeling Means

We do a quick primer of Linear Regression (a ML technique) to prepare us for our next ML base causal inference tool!

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Instrumental Variables

We introduce Instrumental Variables

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Model Misspecification

We talk about an added assumption of the parametric G formula

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Causal Behavioral Modeling Framework - Discrete Choice Modeling of Consumer Demand

There are increasing demands for "causal ML models" of the agent behaviors, which enable us to unbox the complex black-box models and make inferences or do proper counterfactual simulations. Many applications (especially in Marketing) intrinsically call for measurement of the causal impact

From playlist Fundamentals of Machine Learning

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Causation vs. Association - Causal Inference

In this video I talk about the difference between causation and association and explain each of these concepts through an example. Enjoy!

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Statistical Inference for Causal Inference - Causal Inference

In this video I explain the concept of statistical inference for causal inference through a realistic group ideal experiment example. Enjoy! Here's the link to my previous Statistical Inference Introduction video if you haven't watched it yet: https://youtu.be/fEGc8ZqveXM

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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Ideal Experiment - Causal Inference

In this video, I give you more details about the fundamental question and the fundamental problem of causal inference with the help of an example (our ideal experiment).

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

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The Blessings of Multiple Causes - David M. Blei

Seminar on Theoretical Machine Learning Topic: The Blessings of Multiple Causes Speaker: David M. Blei Affiliation: Columbia University Date: January 21, 2020 For more video please visit http://video.ias.edu

From playlist Mathematics

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Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 06 - Good & Bad Controls

Course details: https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Intro music: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDohhCaNf98 Outline 00:00 Introduction 01:43 Causal implications 14:28 do-calculus 16:59 Backdoor criterion 40:48 Pause 41:22 Good and bad controls 1:09:34 Summary 1:26:27 Bonu

From playlist Statistical Rethinking 2023

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Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 06 - Good & Bad Controls

Slides and other course materials: https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2022 Intro video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6erBpdV-fi0 Intro music: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc0AhpjbV58 Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 01:23 Parent collider 08:13 DAG thinking 27:48 Backdoor cri

From playlist Statistical Rethinking 2022

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Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 01 - The Golem of Prague

Full course details at https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2023 Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 03:30 DAGs (causal models) 17:50 Golems (stat models) 43:06 Owls (workflow) Intro music: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9yHZdLswArc

From playlist Statistical Rethinking 2023

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Counterfactual Fairness: Matt Kusner, The Alan Turing Institute

Dr Kusner is a Research Fellow at The Alan Turing Institute. He was previously a visiting researcher at Cornell University, under the supervision of Kilian Q Weinberger, and received his PhD in Machine Learning from Washington University in St Louis. His research is in the areas of counter

From playlist AI for Social Good

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Wolfram Physics Project: A Discussion with Fay Dowker

Fay Dowker joins Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard and Max Piskunov for a Wolfram Physics Project discussion. Begins at 1:47 Originally livestreamed at: https://twitch.tv/stephen_wolfram Stay up-to-date on this project by visiting our website: http://wolfr.am/physics Check out the announc

From playlist Wolfram Physics Project Livestream Archive

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Wolfram Physics I: Basic Formalism, Causal Invariance and Special Relativity

Find more information about the summer school here: https://education.wolfram.com/summer/school Stay up-to-date on this project by visiting our website: http://wolfr.am/physics Check out the announcement post: http://wolfr.am/physics-announcement Find the tools to build a universe: https:

From playlist Wolfram Summer Programs

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Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 04 - Categories Curves & Splines

Slides and other course materials: https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2022 Music: Intro: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LOJD3hEsffM Confusion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wAPCSnAhhC8 Pause: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1f-NQAgm-YM Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 06:09 Cau

From playlist Statistical Rethinking 2022

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Statistical Rethinking 2022 Lecture 01 - Golem of Prague

Introduction to the course: Goals, golems, drawing the owl, meet a DAG Slides available on course webpage: https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_rethinking_2022 Intro music: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S61ENc51Z1Q Prague music: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vO6x49wBKi8 Chapters: 00:00

From playlist Statistical Rethinking 2022

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Double Blind - Causal Inference

In this video, I talk about the double blind assumption (both placebo effects and scientist preference effects) which serves as a good segue to causal diagrams, which I also go over. Enjoy!

From playlist Causal Inference - The Science of Cause and Effect

Related pages

Causal inference | Path analysis (statistics) | Signal processing | Counterfactual conditional | David Cox (statistician) | G. H. Hardy | Causality | Randomized controlled trial | Bayesian network | Granger causality | Probability | Correlation coefficient | Collider (statistics) | Samuel Karlin | Causal map | Causal loop diagram | Variable (mathematics) | External validity | Ishikawa diagram | Jerzy Neyman | Statistical hypothesis testing | Instrumental variables estimation | Directed acyclic graph | Structural equation modeling | Time complexity | Correlation | Regression toward the mean | Directed graph | Mendelian randomization | Abductive reasoning