Computer games, simulations, models, and operations research programs often require a mechanism to determine statistically how likely the engagement between a weapon and a target will result in a satisfactory outcome (i.e. "kill"), known as the probability of kill. Performance auditing and statistical decisions are required when all of the variables that must be considered are not incorporated into the current model, similar to the actuarial methods used by insurance companies to deal with large numbers of customers and huge numbers of variables. Likewise, military planners rely on such calculations to determine the quantity of weapons necessary to destroy an enemy force. The probability of kill, or "Pk", is usually based on a uniform random number generator. This algorithm creates a number between 0 and 1 that is approximately uniformly distributed in that space. If the Pk of a weapon/target engagement is 30% (or 0.30), then every random number generated that is less than 0.3 is considered a "kill"; every number greater than 0.3 is considered a "no kill". When used many times in a simulation, the average result will be that 30% of the weapon/target engagements will be a kill and 70% will not be a kill. This measure may also be used to express the accuracy of a weapon system, known as the probability of hit or "Phit". For example, if a weapon is expected to hit a target nine times out of ten with a representative set of ten engagements, one could say that this weapon has a Phit of 0.9. If the chance of hits is nine out of ten, but the probability of a kill with a hit is 0.5, then the Pk becomes 0.45 or 45%. This reflects the fact that even modern guided warheads may not always destroy a hit target such as an aircraft, missile or main battle tank. Additional factors include the probability of detection (Pd), reliability of the targeting system (Rsys), and reliability of the weapon (Rw), to name a few. For example, if a missile operates properly e.g. 90% of the time (assuming a good shot), the targeting system operates properly 85% of the time, and enemy targets are detected at 50%, we can increase the accuracy of our Pk estimation: Pk = Phit * Pd * Rsys * Rw For example: Pk = 0.9 * 0.5 * 0.85 * 0.90 = 0.344 Users can also specify a probability according to a class of targets, for example, it has been stated that the SA-10 surface-to-air missile system has a Pk of 0.9 against highly maneuvering targets, whereas its Pk against non-maneuvering targets is much higher. (Wikipedia).
Find a Probability of a Binormal Distribution (Survival from Disease)
This video explains how to find the probability of 3 patients surviving out of 5. http://mathispower4u.com
From playlist Probability
Statistics: Ch 4 Probability in Statistics (13 of 74) Probability of a Loaded or Defective Die
Visit http://ilectureonline.com for more math and science lectures! To donate: http://www.ilectureonline.com/donate https://www.patreon.com/user?u=3236071 We will learn how to determine if a die is loaded or defective through experimental probability. Next video in this series can be se
From playlist STATISTICS CH 4 STATISTICS IN PROBABILITY
Probability of an Impossible Event
What is the probability of an impossible event? Why the probability is zero. Calculating simple events and why zero probability does not alway equal "impossible".
From playlist Probability
Odds of a Roll when Rolling a Single Die
This video explains how to determine odds in favor and odds against a specific die roll. http://mathispower4u.com
From playlist Probability
This video explains how to determine the probability of an outcome given the odds of an outcome. http://mathispower4u.com
From playlist Probability
Probability a Family Crashes at Least One Car Multiplication Rule and Complement
Please Subscribe here, thank you!!! https://goo.gl/JQ8Nys Probability a Family Crashes at Least One Car Multiplication Rule and Complement.
From playlist Probability and Counting
The Probability that You Will Die if You Get Infected with the Corona Virus
In this video I work out the probability that you will die if you get infected with the corona virus. I used data from today which is February 28, 2020. As of today there have been 83,000 cases and 2,800 deaths. Note: These results are probabilities computed with today's data and are co
From playlist Corona Virus Math
Determine the Probability of the Complement of an Event (Percent)
This video explains how to determine the complement of an event when a probability is given as a percent. http://mathispower4u.com
From playlist Probability
Expected Value: Life Insurance
This video explains how to calculate an expected value of an event. http://mathispower4u.com
From playlist Probability
Can We Trust Maths? - with Kit Yates
Mathematics is everywhere, in all of our lives. Whether it’s used for medicine, in the media or in the world of politics, we can’t escape it - but can we always trust how it's used? Kit’s book "The Maths of Life and Death" is available now - https://geni.us/jWrj7u8 Watch the Q&A: https:/
From playlist Mathematics
Quick Tip: How To Terminate Apps on Linux
This was meant to be a short, but it's not. Here's how to terminate/kill apps on Linux. 👇 PULL IT DOWN FOR THE GOOD STUFF 👇 Patreon - https://patreon.com/thelinuxcast Liberapay - https://liberapay.com/thelinuxcast/ Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCylGUf9BvQooEFjgdNudoQg/join
From playlist QuickTips
PUBG Data Science Tutorial - Part 1 | PUBG Data Analysis | Data Science Training | Edureka
🔥Edureka Python for Data Science Certification Training: https://www.edureka.co/data-science-python-certification-course This Edureka Data Science Tutorial (Part 2 - https://youtu.be/l2AbVQ4GPQ4) takes PUBG Statistics of players to build a Regression model using the Random Forest Alg
From playlist Edureka Live Classes 2020
Safari Live - Day 47 | Nat Geo WILD
Join us on a LIVE African safari in the Maasai Mara as experts guide us through the bush in search of lions, elephants, buffalo and more wild animals. Join the discussions on social with #safariLIVE! ➡ Subscribe: http://bit.ly/NatGeoWILDSubscribe ➡ Get More Safari Live: https://on.natgeo.c
From playlist Animals & Wildlife | Nat Geo Wild
Sarah Penington (Bath) -- Brownian bees in the infinite swarm limit
Consider a system of N particles moving according to Brownian motions and branching at rate one. Each time a particle branches, the particle in the system furthest from the origin is killed. The large N and large time behaviour of the system is related to solutions of a novel non-linear fr
From playlist Columbia Probability Seminar
IMT4093 2015, Week 2: UI/UX discussion
Research for Mobile Devices
From playlist Archive - Research in Mobile/Wearable Tech
Greybeard Qualification (Linux Internals) part 1: Process Structure and IPC
A Google TechTalk, presented by Ken Guyton, 2008/05/06 Greybeard Qualification Series (Linux Internals) part 1: Process Structure and IPC
From playlist Greybeard Qualification - Linux Internals
MrBeast Illegally Hired an Assassin
Don't hire an assassin. 🌲 Visit https://legaleagle.link/wren to start offsetting your carbon emissions with Wren and get your first month for free! Welcome back to LegalEagle. The most avian legal analysis on the internets. 🚀 Watch my next video early & ad-free on Nebula! https://legale
From playlist Legal Entertainment!
Growing Up With A Killer Dad | Dad's In Death Row | Real Stories True Crime Documentary
John Battaglia was due to be picked up by the police in the morning, for violating his parole again. He was granted one last visit with his daughters, Faith, aged 9, and Liberty, 6 years old. When the girls’ mother talked with them on the phone, they were frightened. All she heard was them
From playlist Crime Documentaries
Probability & Statistics (18 of 62) The "At Least One or Once" Rule - Example
Visit http://ilectureonline.com for more math and science lectures! In this video I will find the probability of rolling (a die) at least one “6” in four tries. Next video in series: http://youtu.be/r9SJxqcWOw8
From playlist Michel van Biezen: PROBABILITY & STATISTICS 1 BASICS
Overhaul: The Sudoku Dungeon Game: Part 2
*** IT'S LIVE: OUR KICKSTARTER CAMPAIGN LAUNCHED *** Want to grab a copy of Cracking The Cryptic's Greatest Hit Volume 2 before time runs out!? Here's the link: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/peterchayward/cracking-the-cryptics-greatest-hits-volume-2?ref=4rrd60 *** OVERHAUL - THE
From playlist Overhaul - The Sudoku Dungeon Game