Actuarial science | Financial models
In finance, model risk is the risk of loss resulting from using insufficiently accurate models to make decisions, originally and frequently in the context of valuing financial securities. However, model risk is more and more prevalent in activities other than financial securities valuation, such as assigning consumer credit scores, real-time probability prediction of fraudulent credit card transactions, and computing the probability of air flight passenger being a terrorist. Rebonato in 2002 defines model risk as "the risk of occurrence of a significant difference between the mark-to-model value of a complex and/or illiquid instrument, and the price at which the same instrument is revealed to have traded in the market". (Wikipedia).
QRM 10-3: The Model Building Approach
This video is taken from by basic RM course and deals with MR under the model-building approach.
From playlist Quantitative Risk Management
(ML 11.3) Frequentist risk, Bayesian expected loss, and Bayes risk
A simple way to visualize the relationships between the frequentist risk, Bayesian expected loss, and Bayes risk.
From playlist Machine Learning
Risk Management Lesson 9B: Model-Building Approach to Market Risk
The second part of Lesson 9 still deals with Market Risk, but we discuss the model-building approach, in which we assume a model for our market variables. In particular we consider the so-called Var-Cov approach, which strongly relies on normality (a definitely unrealistic assumption, yet.
From playlist Risk Management
QRM L1-1: The Definition of Risk
Welcome to Quantitative Risk Management (QRM). In this first class, we define what risk if for us. We will discuss the basic characteristics of risk, underlining some important facts, like its subjectivity, and the impossibility of separating payoffs and probabilities. Understanding the d
From playlist Quantitative Risk Management
QRM 10-4: Model-Building with R Studio
In this video we give a simple example of model-building approach using R. The R studio file is available here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/gb58wm0jfxnl84f/Lesson10_2020.Rmd The data set here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/he1gidlcm9cxgig/historical.csv Enjoy!
From playlist Quantitative Risk Management
Risk Management Lesson 10: Operational Risk
In this last lesson, we deal with Operational Risk, a very important risk for banks. Unfortunately, its treatment in the Basel framework is not at all satisfactory. We will see why. Topics: - Definition of Operational Risk - Characteristics of Operational Risk - Basic Indicator Approach -
From playlist Risk Management
What is Value at Risk? VaR and Risk Management
In todays video we learn about Value at Risk (VaR) and how is it calculated? Buy The Book Here: https://amzn.to/37HIdEB Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle What Is Value at Risk (VaR)? Value at risk (VaR) is a calculation that aims to quantify the level of
From playlist Risk Management
From playlist STAT 501
Risk Management Lesson 4A: Volatility
First part of Lesson 4. Topics: - Definitions of volatility - Basic assumptions (do they hold?) - Arch and G-arch models (brief overview)
From playlist Risk Management
Darwinian Model Risk and Reverse Stress Testing
SIAM Activity Group on FME Virtual Talk Series Join us for a series of online talks on topics related to mathematical finance and engineering and running every two weeks until further notice. The series is organized by the SIAM Activity Group on Financial Mathematics and Engineering. Dat
From playlist SIAM Activity Group on FME Virtual Talk Series
Stephan Wiehler: Minimum capital requirements for market risk under FRTB
A live recording of Stephan Wiehler, Head Rating Models and Stress Testing, Credit Suisse at RiskMinds International 2016. Find out more at https://goo.gl/KVtbtC.
From playlist RiskMinds Live 2016
Transfer Learning From Existing Diseases Via Hierarchical Multi-Modal BERT Models to Predict COVID19
Presented by: Khushbu Agarwal - Senior Research Scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Developing prediction models for emerging infectious diseases from relatively small numbers of cases is a critical need for improving pandemic preparedness. Using COVID-19 as an exemplar, we
From playlist Healthcare NLP Summit 2022
Dependence Uncertainty and Risk - Prof. Paul Embrechts
Abstract I will frame this talk in the context of what I refer to as the First and Second Fundamental Theorem of Quantitative Risk Management (1&2-FTQRM). An alternative subtitle for 1-FTQRM would be "Mathematical Utopia", for 2-FTQRM it would be "Wall Street Reality". I will mainly conce
From playlist Uncertainty and Risk
Webinar: Risk Transformation Agenda
Last year, PwC introduced our market study on how Global banks were looking to transform Risk functions in light of changing risk landscape, evolving business environment and focus on costs. Despite increasing consensus across Risk leadership on the need for change, there continue to be si
From playlist Webinars: At home with the experts
Keith Garbutt: The future of sophisticated modelling development
At RiskMinds International, Liz MacKean interviews Keith Garbutt, Head of Risk Model Validation at Credit Suisse. He discusses how financial institutions are dealing with increasing regulatory requirements, and the cost implications of model validation for banks. Find out more at https://g
From playlist RiskMinds 2016
Quantitative Finance: Toward A General Framework for Modelling Roll-Over Risk
SIAM Activity Group on FME Virtual Talk Series Join us for a series of online talks on topics related to mathematical finance and engineering and running every two weeks until further notice. The series is organized by the SIAM Activity Group on Financial Mathematics and Engineering. Spea
From playlist SIAM Activity Group on FME Virtual Talk Series
Stanford CS229: Machine Learning | Summer 2019 | Lecture 13-Statistical Learning Uniform Convergence
For more information about Stanford’s Artificial Intelligence professional and graduate programs, visit: https://stanford.io/3py8nGr Anand Avati Computer Science, PhD To follow along with the course schedule and syllabus, visit: http://cs229.stanford.edu/syllabus-summer2019.html
From playlist Stanford CS229: Machine Learning Course | Summer 2019 (Anand Avati)
Climate risk analytics: Creating resilient infrastructure for stress testing and modelling
**Please note, due to unexpected technical issues, the audio around 03:30-05:30 crackles. We apologise for the inconvenience, and hope that the slides provided can help you with the content.** As we ramp up on initiatives from regulators and banks for climate risk regulations, net zero co
From playlist Webinars: At home with the experts
What's the main mistake that risk managers are making with conduct risk and compliance?
Peter Tyson, Head Of Conduct & Compliance, Standard Life, explains the key mistakes that risk managers are making with conduct and compliance at RiskMinds Insurance 2016.
From playlist Insurance risk: Predict risk in an unpredictable world
QRM L1-2: The dimensions of risk and friends
Welcome to Quantitative Risk Management (QRM). In this second video, we analyse the dimensions of risk. Risk is in fact an object that we need to consider from different points of view, and that sometimes we cannot even quantify. We will also discuss the importance of statistical thinking
From playlist Quantitative Risk Management