Ensemble learning | Bayesian statistics | Statistical randomness

Gaussian process emulator

In statistics, Gaussian process emulator is one name for a general type of statistical model that has been used in contexts where the problem is to make maximum use of the outputs of a complicated (often non-random) computer-based simulation model. Each run of the simulation model is computationally expensive and each run is based on many different controlling inputs. The variation of the outputs of the simulation model is expected to vary reasonably smoothly with the inputs, but in an unknown way. The overall analysis involves two models: the simulation model, or "simulator", and the statistical model, or "emulator", which notionally emulates the unknown outputs from the simulator. The Gaussian process emulator model treats the problem from the viewpoint of Bayesian statistics. In this approach, even though the output of the simulation model is fixed for any given set of inputs, the actual outputs are unknown unless the computer model is run and hence can be made the subject of a Bayesian analysis. The main element of the Gaussian process emulator model is that it models the outputs as a Gaussian process on a space that is defined by the model inputs. The model includes a description of the correlation or covariance of the outputs, which enables the model to encompass the idea that differences in the output will be small if there are only small differences in the inputs. (Wikipedia).

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Some thoughts on Gaussian processes for emulation of deterministic computer models: Michael Stein

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain a better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are

From playlist Effective and efficient gaussian processes

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(ML 19.1) Gaussian processes - definition and first examples

Definition of a Gaussian process. Elementary examples of Gaussian processes.

From playlist Machine Learning

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(ML 19.2) Existence of Gaussian processes

Statement of the theorem on existence of Gaussian processes, and an explanation of what it is saying.

From playlist Machine Learning

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(ML 16.7) EM for the Gaussian mixture model (part 1)

Applying EM (Expectation-Maximization) to estimate the parameters of a Gaussian mixture model. Here we use the alternate formulation presented for (unconstrained) exponential families.

From playlist Machine Learning

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(ML 16.8) EM for the Gaussian mixture model (part 2)

Applying EM (Expectation-Maximization) to estimate the parameters of a Gaussian mixture model. Here we use the alternate formulation presented for (unconstrained) exponential families.

From playlist Machine Learning

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(ML 19.3) Examples of Gaussian processes (part 1)

Illustrative examples of several Gaussian processes, and visualization of samples drawn from these Gaussian processes. (Random planes, Brownian motion, squared exponential GP, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, a periodic GP, and a symmetric GP).

From playlist Machine Learning

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Known Boundary Emulation of Complex Computer Models: Ian Vernon, Cambridge

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain a better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are

From playlist Effective and efficient gaussian processes

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Integrated emulator for multi-physics systems of computer models: Deyu Ming, UCL

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are us

From playlist Effective and efficient gaussian processes

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GP Emulators applied to UQ workflows in practice: Eric Daub, Turing

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain a better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are

From playlist Effective and efficient gaussian processes

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Sequential Design based on Mutual Information for Computer Experiments: Joakim Beck, KAUST

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are us

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From playlist Workshop on Climate Studies - 2022

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Are GCMs obsolete? by Venkatramani Balaji

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From playlist Workshop on Climate Studies - 2022

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Efficient an effective calibration of spatio-temporal models: Dan Williamson & James Salter, Exeter

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) employs theoretical, numerical and computational tools to characterise uncertainty. It is increasingly becoming a relevant tool to gain a better understanding of physical systems and to make better decisions under uncertainty. Realistic physical systems are

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Reconfigurable optical implementation of quantum (...) - V. Parigi - Workshop 1 - CEB T2 2018

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From playlist 2018 - T2 - Measurement and Control of Quantum Systems: Theory and Experiments

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Integrating a gaussian is everyones favorite party trick. But it can be used to describe something else. Link to gaussian integral: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcar5MDMd_A Link to my Skype Tutoring site: dotsontutoring.simplybook.me or email dotsontutoring@gmail.com if you have ques

From playlist Math/Derivation Videos

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Deep Learning-accelerated cosmological inference from next-generation surveys-Alessio Spurio Mancini

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From playlist IAS/PU Cosmology Discussion

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Computer experiment | Bayesian statistics | Statistical model | Gaussian process | Statistics | Kriging